국방부 못믿겠으니 재무부가 직접 관리하겠다고 하네요.
https://aviationweek.com/defense/budget-policy-operations/debrief-gcap-about-get-new-co-pilot
Debrief: Is GCAP About To Get A New Co-Pilot?
Tony Osborne June 04, 2026
LONDON—An emerging UK government decision to wrestle financial control of the Global Combat Air Program (GCAP) away from the defense ministry may expose the difficult economic woes the country is facing but may also place the crucial trinational fighter program on firmer financial footing.
The London Financial Times (FT) reported on June 3 that Treasury officials could take control of GCAP’s fiscal rudder in a bid to avoid cost overruns that have blighted numerous other defense programs. It could be one of the most consequential decisions made by the UK government on the program.
The reports emerge as the government prepares to unveil its long-delayed Defense Investment Plan (DIP)–the 10-year blueprint of how it will address the recommendations of the Strategic Defense Review—potentially as soon as next week.
Decisions over the funding of the DIP have been deadlocked for months over arguments between the offices of the prime minister, the chancellor of the exchequer, and the defense ministry.
Publication of the DIP should unlock UK funding for the development of GCAP.
The three participating countries—the UK, Japan and Italy—are expected to each inject around £6 billion ($8 billion) to kick off the design and development phase for the fighter, which is to be led by Edgewing, a joint venture of BAE Systems, Leonardo and Japan Aircraft Industrial Enhancement Co.
An announcement is expected at the Farnborough Airshow July 20-24.
This should have happened late last year, but delays to the DIP forced the government to drip-feed funding to the program. An initial £686 million announced in April only funds the program until the end of this month.
The government is under pressure to have a plan in place to allay concerns about whether the UK can afford to increase defense expenditures and foot the GCAP bill, particularly as it prepares for a visit from Japan Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi this month and the NATO summit in Ankara a month later. Takaichi is expected to have the GCAP program at the top of her agenda. The GCAP program is governed by a three-nation treaty that commits the nations to work together on the program. Any further delays could imperil Japan’s push to get the aircraft in service by 2035.
According to the FT, Treasury officials want to avoid GCAP becoming the next HS2. That is a reference to the UK’s costly, high-speed rail project that has racked up billions in cost overruns and looks to become the most expensive infrastructure project in UK history.
One option, the paper suggests, is to declare the program a “megaproject,” placing it alongside HS2 but also crucially the UK’s ongoing Dreadnaught program to replace its ballistic missile submarines, reflecting its multibillion-pound value and multiyear delivery process.
The UK National Infrastructure and Service Transformation Authority, the government organization with oversight of these major projects, said it would not be commenting on the reports.
The issues further highlight the UK’s economic challenges, low growth, high debt, and costly welfare bills that have made it difficult for the government to accelerate defense spending like its European neighbors.
This has not been helped by the longer-term economic effects associated with Brexit, which continue to weigh on growth and public finances.
Whether Treasury involvement accelerates or further complicates decision-making remains to be seen. But with Japan and industry pressing for progress, and European allies moving ahead with their own rearmament plans, the UK has little time left to settle the question of how it intends to fund its next-generation fighter ambitions.
https://www.ft.com/content/f910fdc1-5721-41b7-8727-d5fb1f4ff4e0?syn-25a6b1a6=1
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작성자마로 작성시간 26.06.05 최근 영국군 사업관리를 보면 육상 해상 가리지 않고 개판이었으니 이해는 갑니다만, 재무부가 사업 관리를 한다고 상황이 나아질지는... GCAP은 대마불사라 엎기도 힘들테고, 재정적으로는 더더욱 외부 파트너 영입이 절실해졌는데, 신규 회원국 영입시 산업 및 기술 공유 셈법은 여전히 복잡하네요
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답댓글 작성자백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간 26.06.05 RUSI의 Justin Bronk는 의회에서 이 문제는 어떤 사업이 돈 적게 든다고 거짓말을 해서 일단 사업을 보내고, 사업을 하면서 돈이 훨씬 더 많이 든다는 진실이 드러나는 못된 습관 때문에 생긴다고 했는데, 국제공동개발도 이렇게 뻥을 쳐서 사업을 보내는지 궁금해지네요.
https://cafe.daum.net/NTDS/515G/4266
Professor Justin Bronk: Almost every fighter procurement overruns its cost estimates. The best thing one can do, as a very first principle, is to be much more honest than we typically are in UK military procurement programmes about what we think it will actually cost. We have a long history of being extremely optimistic—to use the charitable term—about what we think a major capital programme will cost, -
답댓글 작성자백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간 26.06.05 then we desperately have to scrabble around each year when it actually costs significantly more. That tends to lead to not just cost overruns against the estimate but significant continuing delays, because we do not have the money in year to keep things on track.
Every year of delay to any programme means keeping a workforce in work, therefore having to be paid for an additional year, even if the programme is not progressing significantly. This, as well as by repeatedly changing specifications, is how British procurement systemically ends up with programmes that arrive 10 years late, -
답댓글 작성자백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간 26.06.05 massively over budget with far smaller fleets. It is basically about unrealistic estimates of likely costs right at the start. We keep doing this. So there is that.
The Chair: Is that largely to get people to agree to the programme?
Professor Justin Bronk: Yes. Look, for example, at the way that the UK’s aircraft carrier programme has gone. You see exactly the results of that not just in monetary cost but in people terms. For example, we now have carriers that had very optimistic estimates of the people required to crew them.