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답댓글 작성자 백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간26.06.05 RUSI의 Justin Bronk는 의회에서 이 문제는 어떤 사업이 돈 적게 든다고 거짓말을 해서 일단 사업을 보내고, 사업을 하면서 돈이 훨씬 더 많이 든다는 진실이 드러나는 못된 습관 때문에 생긴다고 했는데, 국제공동개발도 이렇게 뻥을 쳐서 사업을 보내는지 궁금해지네요.
https://cafe.daum.net/NTDS/515G/4266
Professor Justin Bronk: Almost every fighter procurement overruns its cost estimates. The best thing one can do, as a very first principle, is to be much more honest than we typically are in UK military procurement programmes about what we think it will actually cost. We have a long history of being extremely optimistic—to use the charitable term—about what we think a major capital programme will cost, -
답댓글 작성자 백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간26.06.05 then we desperately have to scrabble around each year when it actually costs significantly more. That tends to lead to not just cost overruns against the estimate but significant continuing delays, because we do not have the money in year to keep things on track.
Every year of delay to any programme means keeping a workforce in work, therefore having to be paid for an additional year, even if the programme is not progressing significantly. This, as well as by repeatedly changing specifications, is how British procurement systemically ends up with programmes that arrive 10 years late, -
답댓글 작성자 백선호 작성자 본인 여부 작성자 작성시간26.06.05 massively over budget with far smaller fleets. It is basically about unrealistic estimates of likely costs right at the start. We keep doing this. So there is that.
The Chair: Is that largely to get people to agree to the programme?
Professor Justin Bronk: Yes. Look, for example, at the way that the UK’s aircraft carrier programme has gone. You see exactly the results of that not just in monetary cost but in people terms. For example, we now have carriers that had very optimistic estimates of the people required to crew them.